• Congratulations to the Class of 2024 on your results!
    Let us know how you went here
    Got a question about your uni preferences? Ask us here

RBA cuts interest rates (1 Viewer)

Joined
Jun 2, 2008
Messages
218
Gender
Male
HSC
N/A
the RBA today cut interest rates by a quarter of a percent but i dont understand why. correct me if im wrong, but i learned that loosening monetary policy doesnt fight inflation, tightening it does. isnt inflation a big problem right now? if so, why is the RBA cutting interest rates? even if the economy is slowing, shouldnt inflation be a more important priority?
 

Captain Hero

Banned
Joined
Jul 21, 2008
Messages
659
Gender
Male
HSC
N/A
Hahahahahahahahahahahaha inflation is caused because our money is based on magic and lies.
 

darkwolfzx

Active Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2006
Messages
1,296
Gender
Undisclosed
HSC
N/A
please explain, if interest rates were meant to slow inflation, why is inflation still floating up and up and up? Additionally interest rates are starting to bite hard. Cutting them sounds good, but means you make a compromise toward inflation.
 

Nebuchanezzar

Banned
Joined
Oct 14, 2004
Messages
7,536
Location
Camden
Gender
Male
HSC
2005
Looks like Kevin Rudd will be presiding over a lowering of the interest rate levels sustained under Howard's reign of terror. I hope their spin doctors take full advantage of this and finally cast off that awful liberal=good economists, labor=bad economists cliche.
 

Captain Hero

Banned
Joined
Jul 21, 2008
Messages
659
Gender
Male
HSC
N/A
Nebuchanezzar said:
Looks like Kevin Rudd will be presiding over a lowering of the interest rate levels sustained under Howard's reign of terror. I hope their spin doctors take full advantage of this and finally cast off that awful liberal=good economists, labor=bad economists cliche.
HOWS IT GOIN LEFT FOCUS

Stopped the Iraq War yet? How about Bushhh? You guys did a hectic job forcing him out of office by next year!
 

BackCountrySnow

Active Member
Joined
Mar 5, 2008
Messages
1,972
Location
1984
Gender
Male
HSC
2008
barbecuedflava said:
the RBA today cut interest rates by a quarter of a percent but i dont understand why. correct me if im wrong, but i learned that loosening monetary policy doesnt fight inflation, tightening it does. isnt inflation a big problem right now? if so, why is the RBA cutting interest rates? even if the economy is slowing, shouldnt inflation be a more important priority?
Consumer confidence is too low and the economy is slowing. I think the RBA has been forced to lower interest rates to prevent our economy from slowing to a point of recession.
 

Nebuchanezzar

Banned
Joined
Oct 14, 2004
Messages
7,536
Location
Camden
Gender
Male
HSC
2005
Captain Hero said:
HOWS IT GOIN LEFT FOCUS

Stopped the Iraq War yet? How about Bushhh? You guys did a hectic job forcing him out of office by next year!
I'm personally going over to Iraq tommorow to put a stop to the war, because I put what little money I have where my mouth is. :eek:
 

BackCountrySnow

Active Member
Joined
Mar 5, 2008
Messages
1,972
Location
1984
Gender
Male
HSC
2008
ah conservatives,

still holding onto their pro-gun, pro-life, homophobic values.
 

wrong_turn

the chosen one
Joined
Sep 18, 2004
Messages
3,664
Location
Sydney
Gender
Male
HSC
2005
Uni Grad
2010
interest rates decrease disposable income and inflation decreases the worth of money. consumers then will tend to save more money and spend less. this will decrease economic growth and you will kinda see what is happening in the US where they are about to enter a recession or have already entered.

inflation has pressures on the exchange rate which has started decreasing too rapidly since july. it was up at about a dollar and now at about the 86 cents mark i believe.
 

HalcyonSky

Active Member
Joined
Jan 4, 2008
Messages
1,187
Gender
Male
HSC
2013
barbecuedflava said:
the RBA today cut interest rates by a quarter of a percent but i dont understand why. correct me if im wrong, but i learned that loosening monetary policy doesnt fight inflation, tightening it does. isnt inflation a big problem right now? if so, why is the RBA cutting interest rates? even if the economy is slowing, shouldnt inflation be a more important priority?
This is correct.

GL in your HSC.
 

Captain Hero

Banned
Joined
Jul 21, 2008
Messages
659
Gender
Male
HSC
N/A
BackCountrySnow said:
ah conservatives,

still holding onto their pro-gun, pro-life, homophobic values.
What? I'm a 'fiscal conservative' I love guns, I think abortion should be subdisied and I think we should outlaw marriage and let everyone be gay damn it.

EDIT: Libertarian lulz.

HATE CENTRAL BANKS.

OY WHY DON'T BANKS JUST BORROW FROM OTHER BANKS KPLOX.

EDIT: Lefties have killed the most people on the planet; Hitler, Mao, Stalin, Pol Pot.
 

velox

Retired
Joined
Mar 19, 2004
Messages
5,521
Location
Where the citi never sleeps.
Gender
Male
HSC
N/A
Oh dear. More profits lost as I import from the US. Didn't have much money to hedge properly either.

GDP figures should pare some losses though - assuming it's good.
 

izzah1

New Member
Joined
May 8, 2007
Messages
22
Gender
Male
HSC
2008
Its basically because its a pre-emptive policy with a variable and often complex time-lag(6-18 months). The RBA cannot afford to wait until inflation is within their target band of 2-3% as we would experience quite a severe recession. Like i think consumer confidence/sentiment is at recession levels with credit growth also very low or falling?. These are all indicators of like a slowing economy where basically consumers will spend/consume less (or save more) and firms will generally invest less due to the higher cost of borrowing hence significantly lowering AD = y = GDP = (C + I + (G-T) + (X-M)) and therefore eco growth. So if AD keeps falling you have a multiplied fall in national incomes (or GDP) so you can actually have a negative economic growth. Since the demand for labour is a derived demand for g+s you will also therefore have a sharp rise in U/E as firms will scale back their production and lay off staff to compensate for the fall in demand for g+s. In a market economy without an govt intervention you'd see an extremely sharp downturn and large rise in U/E. Therefore by cutting the cash rate now, they will be able to ensure that the slow down experienced isn't as severe and that you have moderate/low future growth which will slightly raise U/E, rather than a full blown recession(2 consequetive quarters of negative growth) which would lead to a sharp rise in cyclical U/E which can transpire into other forms etc. So basically by acting in pre-emptive(in order to factor in the time-lag of monetary policy) fashion they can cushion the slow down (hence the name of "counter cyclical") so there is a "soft landing" rather than having negative growth which can have dire consequences on the economy. So when you say inflation should be the most important objective you have to also remember that U/E is also a major objective. In terms of Inflation you will see underlying eventually fall back into the RBA's target band of 2-3% as lower inflationary expectations, a fall in AD and as productive investment into the economy's productive capacity comes more on stream (or the responsiveness of AS is increased). In terms demand pull the low consumption levels and investment levels will lower AD and therefore lead to a fall in prices as there is less demand aye. In terms of cost-push, U/E will rise due to slower growth which lowers consumption and will lead to a fall in wage demands hence lowering demand pull and cost-push inflation. So due to the signs the economy is slowing, the RBA believes inflation will fall in the future(and they are right) and due to the time-lag of monetary policy they must pre-emptively(i.e. now) by cutting rates to ensure that AD does not keep falling in the future to prevent a recession in the economy and basically balance the objectives it has.

Btw wrong_turn although theorethically a higher inflation rate can lead to a depreciation of the dollar, the majority of our export income is derived from primary commodities which have an inelastic demand and therefore are not affected by changes in our inflation rate etc. The main reason for the depreciation was the expected fall in the interest rate differential between AUS and the US with the US cash rate expected to rise in light of their 10% rate of inflation while the RBA was expected to cut rates so carry traders and speculators sell AU and buy the green back speculating a rise in the greenback. There was also speculation of a fall in commodity prices as world growth falls. Remember that like 95% of all exchange rate transactions are speculative short term transactions with trade only accounting for 1%. Such a large depreciation would unlikely be caused by merely a high domestic rate of inflation.
 

HalcyonSky

Active Member
Joined
Jan 4, 2008
Messages
1,187
Gender
Male
HSC
2013
izzah1 said:
Its basically because its a pre-emptive policy with a variable and often complex time-lag(6-18 months). The RBA cannot afford to wait until inflation is within their target band of 2-3% as we would experience quite a severe recession. Like i think consumer confidence/sentiment is at recession levels with credit growth also very low or falling?. These are all indicators of like a slowing economy where basically consumers will spend/consume less (or save more) and firms will generally invest less due to the higher cost of borrowing hence significantly lowering AD = y = GDP = (C + I + (G-T) + (X-M)) and therefore eco growth. So if AD keeps falling you have a multiplied fall in national incomes (or GDP) so you can actually have a negative economic growth. Since the demand for labour is a derived demand for g+s you will also therefore have a sharp rise in U/E as firms will scale back their production and lay off staff to compensate for the fall in demand for g+s. In a market economy without an govt intervention you'd see an extremely sharp downturn and large rise in U/E. Therefore by cutting the cash rate now, they will be able to ensure that the slow down experienced isn't as severe and that you have moderate/low future growth which will slightly raise U/E, rather than a full blown recession(2 consequetive quarters of negative growth) which would lead to a sharp rise in cyclical U/E which can transpire into other forms etc. So basically by acting in pre-emptive(in order to factor in the time-lag of monetary policy) fashion they can cushion the slow down (hence the name of "counter cyclical") so there is a "soft landing" rather than having negative growth which can have dire consequences on the economy. So when you say inflation should be the most important objective you have to also remember that U/E is also a major objective. In terms of Inflation you will see underlying eventually fall back into the RBA's target band of 2-3% as lower inflationary expectations, a fall in AD and as productive investment into the economy's productive capacity comes more on stream (or the responsiveness of AS is increased). In terms demand pull the low consumption levels and investment levels will lower AD and therefore lead to a fall in prices as there is less demand aye. In terms of cost-push, U/E will rise due to slower growth which lowers consumption and will lead to a fall in wage demands hence lowering demand pull and cost-push inflation. So due to the signs the economy is slowing, the RBA believes inflation will fall in the future(and they are right) and due to the time-lag of monetary policy they must pre-emptively(i.e. now) by cutting rates to ensure that AD does not keep falling in the future to prevent a recession in the economy and basically balance the objectives it has.

Btw wrong_turn although theorethically a higher inflation rate can lead to a depreciation of the dollar, the majority of our export income is derived from primary commodities which have an inelastic demand and therefore are not affected by changes in our inflation rate etc. The main reason for the depreciation was the expected fall in the interest rate differential between AUS and the US with the US cash rate expected to rise in light of their 10% rate of inflation while the RBA was expected to cut rates so carry traders and speculators sell AU and buy the green back speculating a rise in the greenback. There was also speculation of a fall in commodity prices as world growth falls. Remember that like 95% of all exchange rate transactions are speculative short term transactions with trade only accounting for 1%. Such a large depreciation would unlikely be caused by merely a high domestic rate of inflation.
Wow, my textbook can make posts on bos. In a much less readable form.
 

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Users: 0, Guests: 1)

Top