Lentern
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- Aug 3, 2008
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- 2008
Noticed there was no thread on this, possibly because many of our political heavyweights (Iron, SP etc) Have moved on but I favour a different excuse. Nobody cares but I thought it might just deserve a thread given it deserves Kerry O'briens time slight on the ABC. So a few jottings loosely related to the budget:
-At the previous budget I hypothesized that the government had fore casted much higher levels of debt than was actually deemed necessary to stave off recession, the rationale being that they could then head into an election year proudly boasting that things are much better than everyone thought they'd be, aren't we fabulous. I maintain that expectation and note that most pundits seem to be anticipating something similar, although they seem to be saying the government genuinely overestimated the problem rather than inflated the figures for political use.
-Everyone will laud Tony Abbott's budget reply before doubting its ability to put the liberal party in a winning position.
-The mining tax will be forced through parliament. An all image man like Kevin Rudd won't let his image be that of an all image man that ducks for cover at the first sign of unpopularity, he's going to fight for this one because he "isn't concerned in the opinion polls, I am concerned with acting in the national interest."
-Well done Swanny, after Peter Costello kicked him all over the place in the 2007 campaign and then Turnbull as shadow treasurer did the same thing in 2008 he was was minister I was most expecting to get a demotion in this parliament. He's now handed down three budgets and served a full term as treasurer. His name is now in the rare company of George Turner, Earle Page, Richard Casey, Harold Holt, John Howard, Paul Keating and Peter Costello.
-At the previous budget I hypothesized that the government had fore casted much higher levels of debt than was actually deemed necessary to stave off recession, the rationale being that they could then head into an election year proudly boasting that things are much better than everyone thought they'd be, aren't we fabulous. I maintain that expectation and note that most pundits seem to be anticipating something similar, although they seem to be saying the government genuinely overestimated the problem rather than inflated the figures for political use.
-Everyone will laud Tony Abbott's budget reply before doubting its ability to put the liberal party in a winning position.
-The mining tax will be forced through parliament. An all image man like Kevin Rudd won't let his image be that of an all image man that ducks for cover at the first sign of unpopularity, he's going to fight for this one because he "isn't concerned in the opinion polls, I am concerned with acting in the national interest."
-Well done Swanny, after Peter Costello kicked him all over the place in the 2007 campaign and then Turnbull as shadow treasurer did the same thing in 2008 he was was minister I was most expecting to get a demotion in this parliament. He's now handed down three budgets and served a full term as treasurer. His name is now in the rare company of George Turner, Earle Page, Richard Casey, Harold Holt, John Howard, Paul Keating and Peter Costello.
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