There is a gaping hole in all the rhetoric and squabbling over a mining superprofits tax. Mining used to be far more beneficial to Australia. Mining operations relied on local communities for servicing and labour, on local manufacturing operations for heavy equipment, fabrication, construction and other trade skills. Things have changed. How many of you have been to a mine recently? Recent changes in technology and improved logistics, as well as surging commodity prices, have prompted concentration of heavy equipment construction, to countries like Germany and Korea who are characterised and indeed praised for their active industrial policy. Fabrication and construction are almost completely relegated to incredibly cheap Chinese operations: pre-fab residential and site office buildings are now the norm, built and assembled in China. This mining boom is increasingly bypassing local labour (this doesn't mean that local employment isn't rising).
But what of the labour that isn't being bypassed? Trade and mining-related employment wages have surged, driving the formation of a "two speed economy". There's no doubt we had a skills shortage before the mining boom took off; the mining boom is only making it worse. The RBA's manipulation of interest rates are increasingly being seen as being forced to halt the surge of the mining and commodities based economy while everyone else (see; small business owners, mortgaged households, even the 4 Pillars to a degree due to cost of funds) suffers. This is almost exactly what happened to the manufacturing sector after the Hawke/Keating economic restructuring. The sequel to the "recession we had to have" is the "boom we had to have". Over a hundred thousand workers suffered long term unemployment after the economic restructuring, and it took a whole lot of effort to rectify (and, lamentably, conceal) this problem. What will be the result of the boom we had to have?
I don't know how much of this I believe, whether it's really as bad as it seems, or whether it will work itself out. It is merely my own thoughts, and those of other Important International Businessmen and forward thinking, gentlemanly scholars. Perhaps we should be more cautious about international investment in resources (although there are a lot of provisions for the local economy in international agreements anyways). Perhaps coal will be a dirty word in 20 years and we need to milk the cow while it's still alive. Can China's insatiable demand for our resources absorb the consequences of a super profits tax? Or, as Hayek says, do we overestimate future means and underestimate future needs?
edit: oh and I don't know about overestimating the mining sector's responsibility for "saving us from the financial crisis". Let's not forget we had a solid and low public debt (thanks Keating, Costello and Howard) and a hit the ground running when the crisis hit. Financial markets exhibited little to no anxiety about the financial position of the Australian economy, of Australian consumers and households, nor of the Australian government. It is for this reason alone that they did not savage us like they have Europe, the US (to a lesser extent) and parts of Asia. Where's the praise for our (thankfully few and strong) domestic banks, our financial regulators, and the admonishment of fickle financial markets?
doubleedit: oh yeah and the greens are horrible, the only purpose they serve is to counter opposing retards (Christian Democrats etc) and make some nominal political pushes