So will it negatively impact my chances if my real atar is below what my estimate was (i put a high estimate because I just really wanted to get it!)
BTW if i get the bonded places (i think thats what it is called - the one where you have to work in rural area) is there a way of getting out of it? I heard that if you pay a sum amount of money you can break the contract...? Is this true for JCU?
No. The estimate is used to get and interview in conjunction with your written application.
The interview/ATAR you actually get/written application are all equally weighed and worth 1/3 each.
Writing that application is as important as everything you'll put into the HSC.
I had an estimate of 98 and ended up actually getting 94. I got both a first round interview and first round offer as my application and interview were very strong.
With regards to bonded places... who cares? If you actually read the contract, it states you only have to work a minimum of 20 hours a week for 3 months of the year for the length of your degree.
I've heard of people working two 10 hour days in the blue mountains (closest place to Sydney I think you can pay off your bond) by driving up there on sunday and returning on Tuesday night.
I'm a bonded student and it doesn't bother me. I guaranteed a job, it gives me an excuse to travel and explore Australia, plus I get invitations to go to rural conferences and networking events all the time to establish connections.
Alternatively, yes you can pay it off. Not sure of the exact figure though.. probs between 70-100k.