Unfortunately, when push comes to shove, I still get a cynical feeling that, no matter what the latest polls say, a majority of white Americans will not pull that lever for Obama, when its just them - in the booth - with noone else watching.
Its an interesting physcological study. People, rationally, know its time for a change. Even many of those who voted for Bush twice over know this by now
And rationally, people know that, of the 2 candidates, Obama - with his more interesting background, opposition to war in Iraq, an expressed willingness to talk to Iran etc before attacking, is the better option for change.
So expressing this view semi-publically, even if only to a pollster, is ok. It tallies with your average American's rational beliefs.
But in the privacy of the polling booth, irrational beliefs can take over. The fears, the prejudices, etc, etc. Once you register your vote - its too late. You can't take it back.
Don't underestimate American ignorance. all these polls may come back to bite Obama in the butt.
but at the end of the day, when November the (when the fuck is the election day?) the world will change. America may have the first black president which may prove me wrong about American ignorance after all. but either way, if McCain wins, thew world will see a McSame with the biggest bimbo as a VP in the history of USA.